Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XRP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-16 0.000018 0.000020 0.000023 0.000025 0.000029 0.000033 0.000037
2025-02-23 0.000015 0.000018 0.000021 0.000026 0.000032 0.000041 0.000053
2025-03-02 0.000013 0.000016 0.000020 0.000026 0.000036 0.000049 0.000070
2025-03-09 0.000011 0.000015 0.000019 0.000026 0.000038 0.000055 0.000088
2025-03-16 0.000010 0.000013 0.000018 0.000026 0.000039 0.000062 0.000108
2025-03-23 0.000009 0.000013 0.000018 0.000026 0.000041 0.000069 0.000134
2025-03-30 0.000009 0.000012 0.000017 0.000026 0.000043 0.000078 0.000166
2025-04-06 0.000008 0.000011 0.000017 0.000026 0.000045 0.000085 0.000200
2025-04-13 0.000007 0.000011 0.000016 0.000026 0.000046 0.000092 0.000239
2025-04-20 0.000007 0.000010 0.000016 0.000026 0.000048 0.000101 0.000290
2025-04-27 0.000007 0.000010 0.000015 0.000026 0.000049 0.000111 0.000357
2025-05-04 0.000006 0.000009 0.000015 0.000026 0.000051 0.000119 0.000428
2025-05-11 0.000006 0.000009 0.000014 0.000026 0.000053 0.000132 0.000547
2025-05-18 0.000006 0.000009 0.000014 0.000026 0.000056 0.000152 0.000745
2025-05-25 0.000006 0.000009 0.000014 0.000027 0.000060 0.000173 0.001034
2025-06-01 0.000005 0.000008 0.000014 0.000027 0.000061 0.000190 0.001351
2025-06-08 0.000005 0.000008 0.000014 0.000026 0.000063 0.000205 0.001750
2025-06-15 0.000005 0.000008 0.000013 0.000027 0.000065 0.000228 0.002453
2025-06-22 0.000005 0.000008 0.000013 0.000027 0.000068 0.000255 0.003572
2025-06-29 0.000004 0.000007 0.000013 0.000027 0.000069 0.000277 0.005040
2025-07-06 0.000004 0.000007 0.000013 0.000026 0.000070 0.000298 0.007130
2025-07-13 0.000004 0.000007 0.000012 0.000026 0.000072 0.000327 0.011235
2025-07-20 0.000004 0.000007 0.000012 0.000026 0.000075 0.000362 0.019486